Texas Real Estate Today
I'll be honest with you. The Texas housing market in late 2025 isn't what anyone expected. It's different now. And that's where the deals are hiding.
Austin Got Humbled
Let's talk about Austin first. Nearly 90% of homes there lost value this past year. Prices dropped 20% from the pandemic peak. That stings.
But Austin was too hot. Everyone knew it. Now it's cooling off. I think that's good for people who want to live there. Not just flip houses.
What about 2026? Experts say prices may dip another 2%. Not a crash. Just settling down.
DFW Holds Steady
Dallas-Fort Worth is doing fine. The median home price is around $363,000. That's down about 4% from last year. Not bad at all.
Next year looks flat. Maybe a tiny bump of 0.2%. If you buy in DFW now, your home value should stay stable. That's good news.
Houston Stays Cheap
Houston is still where regular folks can buy a house. The median price is $306,000. It dropped about 2% this year.
Here's what's cool. Houston might actually grow a bit in 2026. Not much. Half a percent. But when other cities are flat or down? That matters.
San Antonio: Best Deal Around
San Antonio has the best prices. The median home costs $278,000. Yes, it's down 3%. It might dip another percent next year.
But think about it. A major Texas city for under $280,000? That's still a solid deal for first-time buyers.
The Big Change: More Homes to Buy
Here's what really changed. Active listings are up over 31% across Texas. That's huge.
More homes for sale means:
- Less stress when buying
- Room to negotiate prices
- Time to think before you bid
- Inspections that don't get skipped
Two years ago, you'd make an offer and hope. Now you can actually shop around.
People Keep Moving Here
Folks from California and Florida still move to Texas every day. The population keeps growing even as prices cool off.
Texas has jobs. No state income tax. Lots of space. The weather is hot, but hey, that's Texas.
What Should You Do?
If you're buying: Take your time. This market rewards patience. Get pre-approved first. But don't let anyone rush you.
If you're selling: Price it right from day one. Don't list too high just to test the market. Overpriced homes sit for months. They sell for less in the end.
If you're investing: Suburbs and East Texas still have good rental returns. But run your numbers. Growth isn't guaranteed like before.
The Bottom Line
Texas real estate isn't crashing. But it's not 2021 either. This is what a normal market looks like. Most of us forgot what normal feels like.
The winners will be people who understand today's market. Not people chasing last year's prices.
Ready to make your move? I'm here when you are.
Updated December 2025